This looks like a great spot to fade the Miami Heat who are in a potential letdown spot after blowing the doors off the Cavs on Sunday while at the same time backing the Golden State Warriors to rally after back-to-back losses.

Heat are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

In addition to the Warriors to win the game, I also like the under.

Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER.