I like the Golden State Warriors to win outright in a relatively low-scoring game when they host the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. The Warriors are playing their best basketball of the season (8-2 SU and ATS L10), but still need to make up ground to make the playoffs.

This is also a revenge game for the Warriors after losing 130-127 when they hosted Denver on Jan 4, and things are clicking a lot better for the Warriors this time around.

Warriors are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.

Under is 7-2 in Warriors last 9 overall. Under is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 road games.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER.