In The AFC Championship game the Selection is on the Indianapolis Colts. Game 303 at 6:45 eastern. We have a solid system here today that plays against the Patriots and any team in their second game of the playoffs off one home win exact as they are a terrible 1-20 straight Up and 1-19-1 ATS in games in where the total is set at 37.5 or more points. The Patriots are in this one as they are off a come back win vs the Ravens and lost their prior game. Additionally teams off a playoff win where they allowed 28 or more have failed to cover 17 of 22 since 1980. Moving on through the system folder we play against conference Championship teams that won and scored 30 or more and won by 21 or less. The Colts and Playoff dogs that allowed 17 or less back to back are 29-8 to the spread vs an opponent that scored 30 or more. The Patriots have Playoff revenge from last year and Home Blowout loss revenge from this year. They have covered 23 of 30 off back to back wins by 10 or more and dogs of 4 or more are perfect the past few years if they won on the road last week and at home the week before. Coach Bellichick have failed to cover 5 Straight in Conference Championship games and teams who lost last year in the Conference championship have lost 9 straight covering just once if they are playing an opponent who has lost less than 28 percent of their games. The Colts were the side in our Simulation models as well. Look for the Colts to get LUCKY here today.