The Cincinnati Bearcats have lost three of their last four road games, yet they are heavily favored on the road at Central Florida Sunday. The Knights have won eight of 12 home games so far this season, and I'll take the points here in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin - The Bearcats are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Knights have covered the points in four straight at home.

2. Conference Play - The Knights are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. American Athletic Conference.

3. X-Factor - The Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Selection: This is a play on the UCF Knights (8*)