The Toronto Raptors come in to Indiana tonight off a devastating home loss to Portland last night. It won't get any easier against a Pacers team that has won seven of it's last eight. The Raptors have lost 10 of their last 12, and they failed to score 100 points in seven of those 10 losses. All things considered, the total looks a little high in tonight's contest.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Pacers have won six of their last seven home games, and they've allowed opponents to average just 86.8 points per game during that span. They should be able to stifle a struggling Raptors team playing on back-to-back nights.

2. Previous History - These teams have seen the total go under in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous games. The Pacers have seen the total go under in eight of their last 10 overall, making tonight's high number look even more out of place.

3. X-Factor - Toronto's leading scorer Kyle Lowry had just 10 points on 3-of-11 shooting in the loss to Portland last night.

Selection: This is a play on the Raptors@Pacers to go under the total (10*)