The Wichita State Shockers burst onto the scene two years ago when they upset Gonzaga in the first round, and ended up going all the way to the Final Four. That seem team made another run in last year's tournament but came up just short in a nail-biter against Kentucky. The Shockers are still a good team, but I don't think they are quite as dangerous as an underdog this time around.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Shockers have not looked good in non-conference games this year, failing to cover in six of their last seven. The Jayhawks have covered in eight of their last 11 against teams outside their own conference.

2. Cleanthony Early - The Shockers forward scored 31 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a loss to Kentucky in last year's tournament. That was his last game with the team, and they simply aren't the same without him.

3. X-Factor - The Shockers build an impressive record by playing inferior opposition in a smaller conference, but they have struggled against elite teams going 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Selection: This is a play on the Kansas Jayhawks (10*)