The Houston Rockets will head north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors on Monday, and both teams will likely be missing star players. Kyle Lowry isn't expected to play for Toronto, as he's sat out four of the last five games with back spasms. Dwight Howard is expected to be rested in the second game of a back-to-back for Houston. The Rockets played a low scoring game in Washington yesterday, and it would be no surprise to see another low scoring tilt here in Toronto.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Raptors have won seven straight home meetings with Houston, and five of those games went under the total. Toronto has also played six straight unders at home versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better.

2. James Harden - The Raptors did a good job of defending Harden in the most recent meeting, holding him to 20 points in a 98-76 loss in Houston back in February. "If you make a mental mistake, he'll make you pay," said Casey about Harden. "Once he sees it go through the hole, it just becomes easier and easier and easier for him so we gotta give him different looks, different matchups, put him in different situations because that's the only way you can stop him."

3. X-Factor - The Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Selection: This is a play on the Rockets@Raptors to go UNDER the total (10*)