The Miami Heat have gotten the better of Cleveland since LeBron's return, winning two of the three meetings this season. They lost by 20 points in their last trip to Cleveland thought, and we should expect a similar result here tonight. With the possibility that these teams could meet in the first round of the playoffs, this is a big game, and LeBron and the Cavs should be at their best.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Heat are just 16-21 on the road this season, and they've failed to cover in seven of their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

2. Injuries - Kevin Love says he feels good after resting his sore back and expects to play tonight. The Heat are banged up, already without Chris Bosh, Udonis Haslem and Luol Deng are both questionable due to various ailments.

3. X-Factor - The Cavaliers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Cleveland Cavaliers (8*)