The Cleveland Cavaliers are the favorite to represent the Eastern Conference in the NBA Finals, but first they need to take care of business in their first round series versus the Boston Celtics. The pundits are all calling for a blowout in Game 1, but I have my eyes on the total that looks a little too high.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Celtics have had some success in previous visits to Cleveland, winning three of their last four at Quicken Loans Arena. That success is likely to come to an end here on Sunday, but another trend worth noting is that five of the last six times these teams have met in Cleveland, the total has come up short of the number.

2. Cavs Defense - This is a team built to win a title, and we all know that defense wins championships. The Cavs are not known for their defense, but they are more than capable of tightening up and shutting down an opponent. They won 10 of their last 13 games, and only once did their opponent score 100 or more points. That one exception was an overtime win over Washington (113-108).

3. X-Factor - The under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games

Selection: This is a play on Celtics@Cavs to go UNDER the total(10*)