The New York Mets finished April with three consecutive losses and have scored just 12 runs over five games so far in May. They've been shut out twice and I think the Phillies should be able to keep their bats quiet enough to make this a close game and might even pull an upset.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Phillies will hand the ball to Cole Hamels (1-3, 4.14 ERA) who was hit for four runs on five hits over five innings in an 8-0 home-loss against Boston in his season debut. He's allowed just two runs on seven hits over 13 innings at Citizens Bank Park since though and posted a solid 3.20 ERA over 14 home-starts last year when he compiled a 2.41 ERA over 33 2/3 innings of work against the Mets on the year overall. The Mets will counter with Matt Harvey (5-0, 2.41 ERA) who's off to an outstanding start of the year. I think that works to our advantage here though as the Mets are coming in overpriced and will have to rely on his pitching to win as their bats have gone awfully quiet of late.

2. Situational - The Mets are just 1-4 in their last five following a win and 1-5 in their last six as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Phillies on the other hand are 10-4 in their last 14 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-1 in Hamels' last six starts versus a team with a winning record.

3. X-Factor - Ben Revere is 9-for-19 with four runs scored in his last four games.

Selection: This is a play on the Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (8*)