The Los Angeles Dodgers are entering the opener of a three game set home at Dodger Stadium against the Miami Marlins as huge favorites coming off three consecutive wins. Way too big favorites if you ask me, and I think we're getting a terrific price on the visitors to come up with an upset here.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Dodgers will hand the ball to Zack Greinke (5-0, 1.56 ERA) who's off to a great start of the year, but he's been way sharper on the road than at home. He's allowed seven runs on 14 hits over 18 2/3 innings home in L.A. and although he has yet to lose to the Marlins in his career it's behind a 3.97 ERA in six games (five starts). The Fish will counter with Tom Koehler (2-3, 5.18 ERA) who is a respectable 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA over three career starts against the Dodgers.

2. Dee Gordon - The 27 year old spent his first four seasons in the majors with the Dodgers but came over to Miami in a seven-player trade in December. He's been swinging a hot bat all season long, batting a big league-best .439 so far on the year. He'll be poised to go up against his old club for the first time.

3. X-Factor - The current members of the Miami Marlins have hit a respectable .270 over 111 at bats combined against Greinke.

Selection: This is a play on the Miami Marlins +1.5 (8*)