The Houston Astros may be off back-to-back wins, but fact is that they've slowed down considerably after winning 14 of 15 games between April 18 - May 3. They've won just four of their last 10 since, and I like the Blue Jays chances of equalizing this four-game set to 1-1 with an upset tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Astros will hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel (4-0 , 1.39 ERA) who's coming off his worst start of the season as he was hit for four runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings against the Angels. He was still rewarded with the "W" as he was bailed out by a productive offense, but the Astros have scored just 12 runs in four games since so that might not be the case tonight. The Blue Jays will counter with R.A. Dickey (1-4, 5.00 ERA) and he's most likely ecstatic about the Astros recent offensive woes. While he's had a disappointing start to the year, remember that he started March/April poor last season as well but turned things around in May posting a 3.55 ERA while going 3-1 and he ended the year with a respectable 3.71 ERA.

2. Toronto's Offense - The Jays have scored more runs than any other team in the majors on the season (189) and the current lineup has a combined batting average of .300 against the left-handed Keuchel. He might be in for a tough night here as the Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine games versus a left-handed starter.

3. X-Factor - Dickey has owned Jose Altuve over previous meetings holding him two just two hits over 14 at bats.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (8*)