The Rockets dominated early in Game 1 at Oracle Arena, and they were in the game right up until the final seconds. Despite how close Houston came to recording an upset, they still get absolutely no respect. The Warriors are a bigger favorite here in Game 2 than they were in Game 1, and once again I am all over this inflated line.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Warriors are a double-digit home favorite, but they've only covered the spread twice in their last nine home games. Houston got off to a fast start in Game 1, and I expect more of the same tonight.

2. James Harden - He led all scorers with 31 points in the Rockets Game 7 victory over the Clippers, and he's averaged 33.5 points in two games at Oracle Arena during the regular season. Harden scored 28 points in Game 1, but with an ailing Dwight Howard he will need to be at his best tonight.

3, X-Factor - If Dwight Howard can't play, don't count out the Rockets. Howard missed 41 game during the regular season, and the Rockets didn't miss a beat.

Selection: This is a play on the Houston Rockets (10*)