The Toronto Blue Jays are struggling as they're sitting bottom of the AL East and coming into this contest winning just two of their last 10 games. They lost the opener of a three-game set at Rogers Centre against the Seattle Mariners 4-3 last night and I like the visitors in today's match-up as well.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Mark Buehrle (5-3, 5.36 ERA) who's had a rough start to the year. He conceded four runs on six hits with two homers over eight innings in a 4-2 loss at Houston his last start. That marked the third time on the year when he's given up multiple home runs this year and he's allowed multiple homers four times in 40 starts over the last two seasons. The Mariners will counter with a red-hot James Paxton (2-2, 3.59 ERA) who is coming off 20 consecutive scoreless innings logging an 0.86 ERA over three starts in May so far.

2. Nelson Cruz - The Mariners slugger homered for a major league-leading 17th time last night and is 7-for-14 over his last four games as he leads the American League with a .354 batting average.

3. X-Factor - The Blue Jays are just 2-8 in their last 10 match-ups against AL West rivals.

Selection: This is a play on the Seattle Mariners +1.5 (7*)