The Houston Rockets came very close to winning both the first two games of this series on the road, and then they laid an egg in Game 3 at home in Houston. History tells us that it's virtually impossible to come back from an 0-3 series deficit, but I think we'll see the Rockets push back here in Houston in Game 4.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - Houston has covered the spread in eight of it's last 11 home games, and the Rockets are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

2. James Harden - He scored just 17 points on 3-of-16 shooting in Game 3, and you can count on a far better performance tonight. Coming into this series there was debate about who deserved the MVP, but so far Curry has erased any doubt. That gives Harden plenty of motivation to give fans something to think about with one more big game here at home.

3. X-Factor - The Rockets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

Selection: This is a play on the Houston Rockets (8*)