The Cleveland Cavaliers are coming into Game 4 at home as a big favorite looking to complete the sweep and clinch a birth in the Finals. I am not ready to write the Hawks off just yet, and I think we'll see them push back here in this game, at least in the first half.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Not only did the Hawks win the season series (3-1), they've won eight of the last 13 overall, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last 11 trips to Cleveland.

2. Injuries - The Cavs "Big Three" is down to just one, as both Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving are sidelined by injuries. While Love is done for the year, Irving missed three of the last four games, and is doubtful to return tonight. Cleveland has relied on big games from players off the bench, but we have to wonder how long that will continue.
3. X-Factor - The Cavs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Hawks (10*)