The Washington Nationals have cooled off, losing three straight in Cincinnati over the weekend. They return home tonight to host the Blue Jays, and they might have their hands full with the highest scoring team in the major leagues. I'll take Toronto on the runline.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Nats hand the ball to Jordan Zimmerman, who has pretty good numbers at home. Zimmerman (4-2, 3.26 ERA) allowed one run on six hits and three walks over seven innings in a loss to the Cubs in his latest start. He's not used to facing teams with as much power in the lineup as Toronto has though. The Jays counter with R.A. Dickey, who has won his last two trips to the nation's capital, posting a 1.48 ERA in those games.

2. Reyes Returns - Toronto's shortstop is swinging a hot bat, hitting .344 with four doubles and three RBIs in six games since coming off the DL. He's owned Zimmerman, batting .364 over 22 at bats.

3. X-Factor - Bryce Harper is 3-for-14 with six strikeouts lifetime versus Dickey.

Selection: This is a play on Toronto +1.5 (8*)