The Cleveland Indians won just twice in a six game home stand, and tonight they face the Orioles in Game 1 of a three game set at Camden Yards. The Orioles on the other hand are hot, winners of 15 of their last 20 overall. I like Baltimore here as a home dog against a below average Cleveland team.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Corey Kluber will be on the mound for Cleveland, and he's having a very disappointing season so far. Kluber (3-9, 3.65 ERA) gave up four runs on four hits and four walks over seven innings in a home loss to Tampa in his last start. He's lost four straight, and he's 1-5 with a 4.02 ERA in eight starts on the road. The Orioles counter with Wei Yin Chen, who tossed eight shutout innings in a 4-0 win over Philly in his last outing.

2. Home Cookin' - The Orioles are 12-4 in Chen's last 16 home starts, and the Indians are 1-7 in Kluber's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

3. X-Factor - Manny Machado is hitting .427 with six home runs and 17 RBIs in his last 18 games.

Selection: This is a play on the Baltimore Orioles (10*)