Both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals are sitting top of their respective divisions and they've split the first two of a three-game series at Nationals Park. We're getting a good price on the visitors in today's rubber-match, and I recommend a play on the Dodgers.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Nats hand the ball to Max Scherzer (10-7, 2.11) who struggled his last start in front of the home fans, surrendering five runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings of a 5-0 loss to the Reds. This will be his first meeting with the Dodgers for the year, but he has a losing career record against them going 2-3 with a 3.51 ERA. The Dodgers will counter with Zack Greinke (8-2, 1.39 ERA) who's been extremely dominant of late. He's not allowed a single run in his last five starts and he might record another shut out today as he's 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA in five career starts against the Nats.

2. Solid Closers - The Dodgers have won six of their last seven game 3 of a series and they're 17-4 in Greinke's last 21 game 3 starts.

3. X-Factor - Yasiel Puig is 4-for-7 so far in this series and he's 2-for-3 with a double and a triple off Scherzer lifetime.

Selection: This is a play on the Los Angeles Dodgers (10*)