The Milwaukee Brewers have opened the second half of the season with back-to-back wins against the Pittsburgh Pirates. I like them to close out this three game set home at Miller Park with yet another win.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Pirates hand the ball to John Locke (5-5, 4.03 ERA) who conceded four runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks of five innings of a 4-1 home-loss to the Cardinals his last start prior to the All Star break. He might be in even more trouble today as he's 2-2 with a 7.28 ERA in six road-starts for the year and 1-1 with a 4.13 ERA in five starts during the day. The Brew Crew will counter with Taylor Jungmann (4-1, 2.15 ERA) who's impressed in his first seven starts in the big leagues. He's off his first complete game in a 7-1 win at Dodger Stadium where he conceded just one run on three hits and he's held opponents to two runs or less in all but two of his seven starts.

2. Home Cookin - The Brewers have absolutely dominated this series home in Milwaukee historically winning 51 of the last 71 meetings at Miller Park and are looking good at improving those numbers even further today. They're 5-1 in their last six home games when facing a left-handed starter and 5-1 in their last six home games versus a team with a winning record.

3. X-Factor - Ryan Braun is 8-for-23 with three double and a homer off Locke in previous match-ups.

Selection: This is a play on the Milwaukee Brewers (10*)