The Michigan State Spartans played a spirited game against rivals Michigan, but there is no way they should have come away with a win in that game. They were just seconds away from their first loss of the season, but instead a fumble return for TD sees them remain undefeated heading into Saturday's game against Indiana. I think the Spartans are coming in a little overrated, asked to cover too many points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Nate Sudfeld - The Hoosiers quarterback can really air it out, and he proved that last week throwing for 464 yards and four TDs in a 55-52 loss to Rutgers. Indiana is 0-3 in conference play, but he kept them in close games against Ohio State and Rutgers. He didn't play in the loss to Penn State, and they were blown out by a score of 29-7 in that game.

2. Previous History - The Spartans are asked to cover a big number here, yet they haven't been blowing teams out this year. In fact four of their seven wins have come by single digits, and six of seven have come by fewer points than they are asked to cover here. The only exception being a 30-10 win over Central Michigan, a minnow from the MAC.

3. X-Factor - The Spartans have failed to cover the spread in four straight home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Indiana Hoosiers (10*)