*10* Coach's Clinic on Bowling Green.

The Bowling Green Falcons are 6-0 versus MAC teams, and they host the Toledo Rockets in Ohio tonight. The Rockets bounced back from a home loss to Northern Illinois by beating Central Michigan last week, but their defense has looked suspect in both those games. I think this looks like a tough spot for Toledo.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Matt Johnson - The Falcons quarterback leads the nation in passing with just shy of 4000 yards, and a whopping 36 touchdowns. He's averaged over 400 yards per game at home, with 18 TDs and just one INT. The Rockets allowed Cooper Rush to throw for 349 yards and a pair of TDs last week, and they could be in over their heads here tonight.

2. Previous History - The Falcons have covered the spread in five straight versus MAC teams, as well as five in a row at home.

3. X-Factor - The Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Selection: This is a play on the Bowling Green Falcons (10*)