*10* Total MASSACRE on UNDER Bills/Patriots.

The New England Patriots are still considered to be invincible, and they are a big favorite at home to the Bills on Monday Night Football. The Pats won big at Buffalo earlier this season, but I expect this game to be quite different. New England is banged up, and the Bills are playing with plenty of confidence. I like the Bills here, but I believe the best bet is on the total, as the number looks a little too high for a November game at Foxboro.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams have played five times since 2013, and three of those games went over the total. The number for tonight's game is several points higher than it was in any of those games though. The Bills have gone under in five straight road games when playing at a team with a winning record, they've also gone under in five of their last six games in the month of November.

2. Injuries - The Patriots offense is really short-handed, with players dropping like flies. Not only is their O-line depleted, but they have lost their leading rusher and their best receiver.

3 X-Factor - With a healthy LeSean McCoy and Karlos Williams, expect Buffalo to look to establish the run. If successful, they'll burn up plenty of clock.

Selection: This is a play on the Bills@Pats to go UNDER the total (10*)