*8* Total MASSACRE on UNDER Jazz/Kings.

The Sacramento kings have struggled lately with just one win over their last six games. Tonight they'll host a Utah Jazz team that is off a rare high-scoring contest when it defeated the Pacers 122-119 in OT Saturday. I expect this game to be a low-scoring one though, and I think the line for the total looks way too high.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. The Jazz's Defense - Utah has allowed the third fewest points in the league at 95.9 per game and its defense has been extremely pesky on the road, giving up just 92.4 points on average.

2. DeMarcus Cousins & Rajon Rondo - Cousins has averaged 14.3 points on 24.5% shooting in his last three games while Rondo shot 3-of-9 for seven points in Sunday's 98-95 loss at Oklahoma City and has tallied seven or less in three of his last five games. When those two are struggling, the Kings are struggling.

3. X-Factor - Each of the Kings last four at home have gone under the total.

Selection: This is a play on UTA@SAC to go UNDER the total (8*)