*10* MASSACRE on Green Bay Packers.

The Green Bay Packers shocked the Lions in Detroit with a game winning Hail Mary winner to complete a comeback from a 20-point deficit last Thursday. They are well rested ahead of this Week's game against the Cowboys, who are coming off a short week after beating the Redskins on Monday Night Football. I like the home team here in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Packers have won four straight against Dallas dating back to 2008. They covered the spread in three of those games, and they are are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games in December.

2. Eddie Lacy - The Packers starting running back was benched last week for violating team rules, and he'll come into today's game with a lot to prove. He had run for over 100 yards in his two previous games. Dallas ranks 15th in the NFL against the run, allowing opponents to average over 104 yards per game. I expect Lacy to put up big numbers here as he should be well rested.

3. X-Factor - The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five versus teams with a winning record.

Selection: This is a play on the Green Bay Packers (10*)