*10* SURE SHOT on OVER Pats/Texans.

The New England Patriots have lost back-to-back games after starting the season 10-0. They look to get back on track tonight in Houston, and they could get back a few key players on offense. I think the total looks pretty low here all things considered.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with the total going over in each of the last six meetings. The Patriots have gone over in five of their last six road games, while the Texans have gone over in seven of their last nine versus the AFC.

2. DeAndre Hopkins - The Texans wide receiver ranks 3rd in the NFL in receiving yards with 1,169 yards. He appears to have developed some chemistry with quarterback Brian Hoyer, who has thrown for 988 yards with seven TDs and three INTs at home this year.

3. X-Factor - The over is 54-25 in Patriots last 79 vs. AFC.

Selection: This is a play on the Pats@Texas to go over the total (10*)