*8* SURE SHOT on Wisconsin.

The Wisconsin Badgers will host the Green Bay Phoenix tonight, and they will be a double-digit home favorite. The Phoenix have lost three of their five road games so far, and are coming off a big win in a game against a division III school. They are likely to struggle with the step up in class versus the Badgers.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Badgers have won five straight in this series, and they were a favorite in the range of 15-20 points at home during that span. All four of their home wins against Green Bay since 2009 have come by a double-digit margin.

2. Home Cookin' - The are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, but they are an even worse bet against tougher teams, going 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

3. X-Factor - The Badgers are hitting a solid 71.9 percent from the free throw line, while the Phoenix are struggling hitting just 60 percent.

Selection: This is a play on the Wisconsin Badgers (8*)