1* Free Play Bowling Green.

I got a great price on Bowling Green to win the MAC Championship before the start of the season, and cashed a winning ticket when they beat Northern Illinois in the Conference Title Game. I'll take the Falcons here in their Bowl game versus Georgia Southern.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Matt Johnson - The Falcons quarterback ranked second nationally throwing for 4,700 yards and 43 TDs this season. He's facing an Eagles defense that allowed 34.7 points per game, despite playing most of it's games against the minnows of the Sun Belt.

2. One Dimensional - The Eagles do not, and can not pass the ball. They ranked 128th nationally averaging just 68 passing yards per game this season. The Falcons rely heavily on their passing game, but they can run the ball when they want to. In their win over the Huskies, they ran for 266 yards and three TDs.

3. X-Factor - The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five non-conference games.

Selection: This is FREE PLAY play on the Bowling Green Falcons.