1* Free Play OVER Avs/Sabres.

The Buffalo Sabres managed to put an end to a four-game slide as they defeated the Habs 6-4 Friday. I think they'll struggle to make it back-to-back wins tonight though as they host a Colorado Avalanche team looking to complete three-game trip with a perfect record.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Situational - The Avs defeated the Sens 4-3 at Ottawa Thursday before claiming a 3-2 shootout victory at Detroit the next day. This might look like a rough spot at first glance, but the Avs are 5-0 in their last five in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and they've won five of their last six on the road. The over is 3-0-1 in Avalanche last 4 road games.

2. Home Woes - The Sabres have won just two of their last 11 home at First Niagara Center and they've dropped five straight when playing host to Colorado. These teams have gone over in four straight at Buffalo.

3. X-Factor - These teams have gone over in seven of the last eight meetings.

Selection: This is a play on the Avs@Sabres to go OVER the total (Free))