The set-up: This series features some even match ups, but this isn't one of them in my opinion. The visitors hand the ball to ace Jacob DeGrom, while the home side goes with Trevor Williams.

The pitchers: deGrom is so far 5-5 with a 1.71 ERA. He most recently gave up three runs off five hits and two walks over eight innings in a loss to San Diego on Monday, also going on to strikeout ten. DeGrom has now gone 17 straight starts with allowing three earned runs or fewer. Note that he's 3-2 with a 1.79 ERA on the road as well.

Williams is so far 8-7 with a 4.11 ERA. He comes in off a win over Cleveland on Monday, going six scoreless with one strikeout. Williams has been hit or miss this year, but note that he's still owns a pedestrian 4.56 ERA at home.

The pick: DeGrom has been the victim of poor run support this season, but his numbers definitely put him in Cy Young contention. Williams has been "ok" over the last couple of weeks, but I think he's in over his head in this matchup. My focus is on the starters and deGrom is undervalued here in my opinion. Lay the price.