The set-up: After yesterday's high-scoring 8-4 Yanks win, I'm expecting much more of a "duel" in the finale of this three game set. James Paxton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, who comes off a pair of poor starts to the 2020 campaign. Paxton had surgery in February and it's caused a decrease in velocity on his fast ball, which has led to a pair of poor outings. The veteran should improve with each outing though, as his track and pedigree definitely point to a comeback effort here sooner, rather than later.

The pick: Charlie Morton (1-1, 8.00) gets the call for the visitors and he comes off his first win of the year, allowing one run off five hits with no walks and five K's over six innings vs. the Reds on Tuesday. After a shaky first outing, Morton definitely returned to the form which saw him go 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA last season. I'm banking on Morton continuing his progression and I absolutely expect Paxton to be much better here. With these two starters battling deep, look for this one to stay under once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.