The set-up: I think the Texans have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright. The Packers looked pretty ordinary in their beatdown loss in Tampa last weekend. Clearly Aaron Rodgers will have a better game here, however Houston won't be lacking for motivation here after its first win of the year over Jacksonville last time out. The Packers strength of schedule definitely has to be called into question here. While Rodgers is off his worst start of his career, the Texans' DeShaun Watson is off his best start of the season. These teams are moving in different directions.

The pick: Houston has played the much tougher schedule as well to this point and it faces a difficult road schedule up next. Their season is on the line, I like the Texans to at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans.