The set-up: The Chiefs held on for a 35-31 win over the Raiders last weekend and I think they'll find a way to cover on the road here again against the inconsistent Bucs. Tampa enters off a 27-24 loss to the Rams at home. KC comes to town on top form, having won five straight. Overall the Chiefs average 32.1 PPG and it concedes 21.4.

The picks: The Bucs average 29.1 PPG and they allow 23. Tampa though is a poor 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 at home, while KC is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with a winning home record. Bucs' QB Tom Brady has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and KC already has ten interceptions this year. The defending champs are definitely worth a second look in this one.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the KC Chiefs.