The set-up: Carolina lost both games at home, but managed to gut out an OT win in Game 3. Suffice it to say, everything points to a letdown here for the visiting side in my opinion. The Lightning are experienced and will feel confident that they can bounce back here, as note that they're 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss to an opponent.

The pick: Carolina is a fantastic team, but the Lightning are just too deep and experienced. I expect a decisive win here, so I'm laying this price without any worries.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Lightning.