The set-up: I'm going to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra run-and-a-half of insurance. Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA) enters off a strong start over the Marlins on Tuesday, allowing one run and striking out nine over six innings. I like Ray to carry that momentum over here.

The pick: Carlos Rodon (5-2, 1.98) has been excellent for the White Sox this year, but his early numbers are already taking a hit, as he comes in off his worst start of the year after allowing five runs over six innings. I think Ray can match Rodon inning for inning (at the least), and in a situation like that, I think the value swings to the undervalued underdog.

This is an 8* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Blue Jays.