The set up

Cubs at San Diego Padres

Davies vs Lamet

Davies vs Lamet: a pair of starters who, for different reasons, are on tight leashes. Zach Davies hasn’t thrived this year. He is 2-3 with an era just under five. It gets worse. K’s/BB’s 33 to 28, 6.75 era on the road, right handed batters batting .331. It is very doubtful he’ll go more than twice through the lineup because past the second time opposing batters are an average of .514.

Lamet is a different story. Since spending time on the injured list in April he hasn’t pitched more than 4 innings in a game.. It has been a season of quality over quantity for Lamet; 18 innings pitched with an era of 2.50, lots of strikeouts, and low base on balls.

Both bullpens will see action early. Both teams sport excellent bullpens. The Padres’ pen is a little more rested, as Cubs starters haven’t gone long into their games lately.

The Cubs swept the Padres in their home series, but have struggled on the road. The Padres at 4-6 in the last ten games have sunk to second place in the NL West, and probably feel it is time to right the ship.

The wager

Look for the Padres to get to Davies early and often. Take the over.