The Bills are running hot and are fairly healthy, which is saying a lot. Allen is the QB of the moment with his fine performance last week, and he is up against a Falcons pass defense that is 23rd in yards allowed and 32nd in sacks. Giving Allen that kind of friendly environment will likely lead to a high total. The Falcons’ run defense is also on the average side, allowing more than 125 yds over their last three games. The Bills have averaged 135 rushing yards over their last three games, even though they are a pass-first offense. Singletary and Allen give the Bills much more flexibility in their running game.

The Falcons aren’t scoring a ton of points, and they struggle badly against good teams. I remember vividly their 25 -0 loss to the Patriots, who the Bills beat up on last week. Atlanta's run game is worst in the league and sinking fast. Ryan is a competent QB, but he will be up against the league’s best pass defense, both in yards and yards/attempt.

The Falcons have covid issues, much more at the moment than the Bills. Atlanta has been blown out more than a couple of times this year. Sunday’s game might just be one more nail in the playoff coffin.

The points are high but I believe the Bills will win and cover.