Oklahoma City is not strong offensively. They actually rank dead last in the NBA in points per game as well as three-point shooting, and have scored 97 points or less in six of their last 11 games. But I think they’ve got an opportunity to break out tonight against Charlotte, who allows the second most points per game in the league.

The Hornets’ defense has been a bit more sound of late while winning six of their last seven games. Three of those games have seen them allow fewer than 100 points. Five times they’ve allowed no more than 106. But eventually they’re going to revert back to their “old ways” and tonight might just be that night.

The Thunder are coming off three consecutive games where they shot below 44%. It’s tough to shoot any worse than they did Wednesday in San Antonio when they made only 38.8% of their field goal attempts. That included 25% from three. I predict OKC will in fact shoot better tonight, leading to more points scored.

Charlotte is 11-4 Over this season when facing a team that has a losing record. That’s the way I’m going here.