The Lightning were embarrassed by the Penguins and will be out for blood against Detroit on Friday. Tampa Bay is a very good home team, and will seriously test the Red Wings' 30th rated defense. Tampa seems impervious to a drop-off in back-to-back situations, although with Elliot in net, they will likely give up a litttle extra on goals against.

The over has figured prominently for both teams, but especially Detroit. It is hard to forget that NFL-worthy score against the Leafs. Detroit's offense is certainly better than their defense, averaging 4 goals-for per game over their last 7, win or lose. Friday's likely starter Nedeljovic has had some very poor outings, but he doesn't get much support. Detroit may be better rested, but i am looking for a rebound from the Lightning. By all rights, this game should go over..