The Nuggets and Warriors open their best of seven series Saturday night in San Francisco with the home team pretty heavily favored. Unders dominated the NBA’s Play-In Round, cashing in all six games. We’re bound to have on Over on Saturday, but it won’t be this game.

Over their last five contests, Denver scored an average of 123.8 points while also giving up an average of 125.0. That’s clearly more than usual. For the year, Nuggets’ games averaged 223.1 points as they scored 112.7 and allowed 110.4. On the road, both those numbers dipped to 110.7 and 108.4 for a total average 219.1 points per game.

Golden State comes into the playoffs on a five-game win streak and will likely have their full complement of players, including Steph Curry, ready to go on Saturday. But after Curry missed so much time (hasn’t played since 3/16), I believe it would be an error to expect a big game from him.

The Warriors did end up #1 in defensive efficiency for the regular season, which means they allow the fewest number of points per possession in the league. They allow only 103.1 points per game at home.

The Under is 6-2 in the previous eight meetings. The playoffs are upon us and points are harder to come by. Take the Under