Game 1 of this series went Over, but only because the teams combined for 70 points in the fourth quarter. The entire way, the series seemed to be on a trajectory to stay Under and even with the ridiculous amount of scoring that we saw in the fourth quarter, it only made it Over by a handful of points.

Will Jordan Poole score 30 points again, as he did in his playoff debut Saturday night? Probably not!

Don’t forget that in the regular season Golden State gave up the fewest number of points per 100 possessions in the entire league. So Denver, who is playing without Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, should be kept in check again. Nikola Jokic can’t do it all himself against this Warriors team.

Line movement suggests that Under is the “sharp” play for Game 2. I think that both teams are headed for some offensive regression and the Nuggets should play better defensively with a game under their belts.

Steph Curry is still working back into shape. That and Poole’s regression tell me Under is the right call tonight.