We turn to the total for this critical Game 6 between the Suns and Mavericks. Dallas must win here to stay alive, or Phoenix moves on to its second straight Western Conference Final. I say to expect a low-scoring affair tonight in “Big D.:

The Mavs only give up 101.3 points per game at home. That is #1 in the league, almost two points better than the second best team. Phoenix averaged 97.5 points in the two games here in the series.

The Under has hit each of the last three games in this series. Dallas could only muster 80 in Game 5, a sad showing where they hit just eight threes. They certainly will score more tonight. But this is a team that over its last eight games has topped 103 just three times.

After shooting above 50 percent in their first eight playoff games, the Suns have finished below that mark in each of the last three games. That shouldn’t be all that surprising. It’s hard to consistently make more shots than you miss.

The Under is 31-14 this year in Dallas home games. It’s an average of 209.2 points per game scored here. Another Under is in the cards tonight.