If Vasilevskiy’s amazing record of rebounding after a loss is to continue and Tampa Bay is to stave off elimination, he and the Lightning will have to better control the Leafs’ impressive offense. I am not sure if the Lightning are ready to bow out, especially at home. The trend in this series since the second game has been towards the over, but I am expecting tighter, more conservative play in game 6. The Leafs’ addition of Giordano has solidified their defense, and Campbell, to date in the series at least, has arguably out-played Vasilevskiy. In the end defense and goal-tending wins games, and both teams will play that way today. Look for a result similar to game one and take the UNDER today.