The Braves swept their last two series but now face a hot Mets team on the road. Atlanta isn’t quite as strong away from home, and they are being significantly out-hit by the Mets at the moment . Thursday’s starters squared off in May with Carrasco and the Mets winning 3-0. After a rough June, Carrasco was light-out in July with an ERA of 0.90. He gives up more hits than might be expected but is stingy with runs. He has been especially effective at home this year.

Atlanta’s Wright as also been very effective this season, with an ERA of 2.93 in his last 7 starts. The Mets have had some success against him in the past and he does give up more than his share of homeruns.

The Mets offense is quite something at the moment. They are a very good home team and while both starters are very effective, the edge goes to Carrasco in July. I am wagering on the Mets with the home advantage on Thursday. Take New York to win outright.