The Braves are on the road vs the Marlins on Sunday. Atlanta has won 5 straight, 3 of them against the Marlins. Atlanta is a very good hitting team with a solid road record, but today’s starter is a question mark. Elder has just 1 start since April and it didn’t go well, allowing 3 runs over 2.1 innings against the Mets. He didn’t hang around long last time and that will likely be the case today, as the Braves pen is pitching very well at the moment. Elder may have better luck vs the Marlins because the Marlins just plain can’t hit. They are 2-8 and haven’t scored more than 3 runs in their last 10 games.

The Marlins start left handed pitcher Garrett today. He has been reasonably effective in his last 7 starts with a 3.35 ERA. He does not last longer than about 5 innings. He has had some very strong outings with high strikeouts, but doesn’t fare as well against top hitting teams. He gave up 4 runs over 4+ innings in his last start vs. the Phillies.

The Braves are a very good team, especially vs. left handed pitching. The Marlins are actually worse on the road, and their bullpen has not been sharp. Elder is not a good bet, even against the poor hitting Marlins, but the Braves will have their opportunities against Garrett and the Miami pen. Atlanta may be working from behind early, but I expect the Braves bats to wear down the Marlins today. Braves to win outright.