At 4:10 ET, my AL GOY is on Seattle run-line. After losing 4 straight games and going 2-7 their last 9, the Mariners are in danger of being swept. Worse, their lead over the Astros has dwindled down to 2 games. It's time for them to make things right! Corbin Burnes goes for Baltimore. He's a really good pitcher. He's not unhittable though, as we saw with the 9 hits he allowed last game. He's also a big name and has become quite expensive every time that he pitches. He's been better at night than in the day and he's been much better at home than on the road. Today, he's on the road for a day game against an angry division leader. Bryce Miller loves pitching at home. He has a 1.99 ERA in 9 starts here this season, much better than Burnes' road ERA. That comes with a 0.86 WHIP and a .167 opponent's batting average. Really good numbers, indeed. The Mariners are 6-2 his last 8 starts here. Due to Burnes' price tag, we are able to take +1.5 runs with the Mariners, a nice and valuable luxury to have in a game which will be close. Play on Seattle.