AAA's 3-GAME LATE-BREAKING NFL DESTRUCTION PASS (9-2/81% ALL NFL L3 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Oakland vs. Miami, 11/05/2017 3:30 PM, Score: 27 - 24
Total: 44.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Oakland Raiders and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six games played in the month of November and in in its last four against the AFC East, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 17 against teams with losing records and in four of its last five as a home dog of three points or less.

The bottom line: Clearly this is a big game for the Raiders. They're 3-5. That's not what Derek Carr, Marshawn Lynch and company expected they'd be sitting at at this point of the season. But with their bye week on deck, we think Carr and the offense will have a very productive day as they leave everything on the field of play. Going into their bye at 4-5 and off a solid victory would go a long way for the Raiders' second half push. Miami is still in the thick of the race at 4-3, but off the 40-0 loss at Baltimore last weekend, we're expecting the Dolphins' patchwork offense to put up a much better performance in front of the home town crowd and against this suspect Raiders' secondary. Play the OVER.

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