PREMIUM
**25-8/76% BIG TICKET 10* RUN!** 10* CBB SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (+$16K ALL PICKS IN DEC!)
(NCAAB) Central Arkansas vs. Oregon,
12/20/2017 6:00 PM, Score: 82 - 96
Point Spread: -20.00 | -106.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -20.00 | -106.00 Oregon (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Oregon.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Central Arkansas is just 1-2 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and just 2-4 ATS in its last six as an underdog, while Oregon is 27-13 ATS in its last 40 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest and already 4-2 ATS this year as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more.
The bottom line: Oregon comes in off a big 68-61 win over Fresno State as a 2.5 point dog and won't play again until after X-Mas. Suffice it to say, we're expecting the Ducks to make the most of this favorable matchup. The Bears are just 2-6 on the road and we think they'll simply go through the motions tonight as they also "look ahead" to their time off over X-Mas. All things considered, we feel this number should in fact be a lot larger. Value swings to the DUCKS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Central Arkansas is just 1-2 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and just 2-4 ATS in its last six as an underdog, while Oregon is 27-13 ATS in its last 40 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest and already 4-2 ATS this year as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more.
The bottom line: Oregon comes in off a big 68-61 win over Fresno State as a 2.5 point dog and won't play again until after X-Mas. Suffice it to say, we're expecting the Ducks to make the most of this favorable matchup. The Bears are just 2-6 on the road and we think they'll simply go through the motions tonight as they also "look ahead" to their time off over X-Mas. All things considered, we feel this number should in fact be a lot larger. Value swings to the DUCKS.
AAA Sports
