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(NBA) Cleveland vs. Golden State,
12/25/2017 10:00 AM, Score: 92 - 99
Point Spread: 5.00 | -110.00 Cleveland (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 5.00 | -110.00 Cleveland (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 112 points or more in its previous contest (the Cavs come in off a 115-112 victory over Chicago last time out. While Cleveland has won eight of its last ten, it's just 3-7 ATS in that span. Suffice it to say, we expect that lop-sided short-term trend to start to correct itself this evening.) Additionally not that Golden State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after failing to score 82 points or more in its previous outing (the Warriors come in off a listless 96-81 home loss to the Nuggets.)
The bottom line: This is a big game obviously, as these two teams have met each other in the Finals for the last three years straight. Golden State has come out on top of those match ups twice, including in six games last year. It's revenge time for the Cavaliers, who come in healthier and more focused than the defending champs right now. We took the Cavaliers in Game 7 of the NBA Finals in Golden State on the money line two years ago, a winning 10* bet that paid +185. While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset here either, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the CAVALIERS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 112 points or more in its previous contest (the Cavs come in off a 115-112 victory over Chicago last time out. While Cleveland has won eight of its last ten, it's just 3-7 ATS in that span. Suffice it to say, we expect that lop-sided short-term trend to start to correct itself this evening.) Additionally not that Golden State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after failing to score 82 points or more in its previous outing (the Warriors come in off a listless 96-81 home loss to the Nuggets.)
The bottom line: This is a big game obviously, as these two teams have met each other in the Finals for the last three years straight. Golden State has come out on top of those match ups twice, including in six games last year. It's revenge time for the Cavaliers, who come in healthier and more focused than the defending champs right now. We took the Cavaliers in Game 7 of the NBA Finals in Golden State on the money line two years ago, a winning 10* bet that paid +185. While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset here either, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the CAVALIERS.
AAA Sports
