PREMIUM
AAA's MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION!
(NCAAB) Cleveland State vs. Wisc-Green Bay,
02/22/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 61 - 78
Point Spread: 13.00 | -106.00 Cleveland State (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 13.00 | -106.00 Cleveland State (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Cleveland State.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic "look-ahead" spot: It's not too hard to Imagine the 17-11 Green Bay Phoenix "looking past" lowly Cleveland State today, 8-20 overall and just 3-12 in conference which is tied for last in the league.
Revenge spot: Despite being out of contention for quite some time, the Vikings will be out to atone for a 20 points loss to the Phoenix back on January 7th.
ATS statistics: Note that Cleveland State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a 20 point or more home loss to an opponent, while Green Bay is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a home fav or 11 points or more.
The bottom line: With a date vs. last place Illinois-Chicago after this, followed by a contest vs. league-leading Valparaiso to end the regular season, all signs point to the home side having enough of a mental lapse for the visiting VIKINGS to quietly sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to them in this spot.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic "look-ahead" spot: It's not too hard to Imagine the 17-11 Green Bay Phoenix "looking past" lowly Cleveland State today, 8-20 overall and just 3-12 in conference which is tied for last in the league.
Revenge spot: Despite being out of contention for quite some time, the Vikings will be out to atone for a 20 points loss to the Phoenix back on January 7th.
ATS statistics: Note that Cleveland State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a 20 point or more home loss to an opponent, while Green Bay is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a home fav or 11 points or more.
The bottom line: With a date vs. last place Illinois-Chicago after this, followed by a contest vs. league-leading Valparaiso to end the regular season, all signs point to the home side having enough of a mental lapse for the visiting VIKINGS to quietly sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to them in this spot.
AAA Sports
